Bloodbath

Well, scanning the recent polls has been encouraging. An Associated Press article I read this morning suggested that the Democrats might gain as many as nine seats in the Senate this November. This is almost a bigger deal for me than the Presidential election, because the President can't get much of anything done without the Senate. On top of that "With Republicans fearing the loss of 17 to 21 House seats, January 2009 could bring Democrats a dominance over Washington that neither party has experienced since the Reagan years."

You know, American historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr. predicted the Republican party would collapse. He actually suggested that would happen in the late 90's or just after the turn of the century, but of course couldn't figure in 9/11 and the Iraq war. The pendulum will eventually swing back to the center, and I think that third parties will play a stronger role in national politics very soon. Not sooner than 2012 of course: the Democrats will get their chance to soil the dough. I predict that Obama will win in November with a slim Electoral college majority and a small but clear majority in the popular vote. If the Republicans get slaughtered in the Congressional elections, then our national politics are going to change more dramatically than any of us have ever seen. I predict the Republicans will take a heavy beating. What happens after that is up to the Democrats and Obama.